Did you enjoy the show? We would love your support!

Leave a review on Apple Podcasts or wherever you listen to podcasts. We love reading what our listeners think of the show!

Subscribe to the podcast, so you never miss an episode.
Share the podcast with your family, friends, and co-workers.
Tag me on Instagram @bobbirebell1 and you’ll automatically be entered to win books by our favorite guests and merch from our Grownup Gear shop.

Full Transcript:

Grownups. I have some important things I want to say about the financial markets and I hope you will take them to heart.

But first I just want to thank so many of you who have picked up my new book Launching Financial Grownups- it is such a great graduation gift for parents of young adults and also makes a great fathers day gift. I’m trying to get to 100 reviews on Amazon - I’m now in the mid-40’s and so I am asking once again if you can leave a review on Amazon. I really need your support and I truly appreciate it.

Now let’s get to this week’s episode. And just to time stamp this- I am recording this Memorial Day weekend of 2022.

The last week was a bit of relief- but the last couple of months things have been going down enough, that people are legit worried. It’s not just stocks that have been taking a big hit. Crypto has taken a beating. And All this while life is getting more expensive: Gas prices are soaring - mortgage rates climbing along with the interest rates we pay on all kids of debt- as are prices of seemingly all the things we pretty much have to buy to get through the day. And that doesn’t count artificially inflated prices like on baby formula which we are not going to cover in this episode but I just want to note- is so wrong.

For almost of of us- the pain is personal. I log on to my brokerage account, the one that has money for retirement which gets closer each day- and the number is- staggeringly depressing. It so much lower than it was a few months ago, and I don’t know about you but it makes me sad - and given that I am closer to retirement than to my career beginnings, honestly- a little scared.

And I’m thinking about our 22 year old who just graduated college into all this- he has been faithfully saving and investing money in diversified funds for a few years and who has been so proud and excited watching it grow- and I’m purposefully not bringing it up because I don’t want him to look and be upset- or worse - do something about it.

And that’s what I want to focus on- should you DO something about this. Because it’s hard to just watch. We want to take action. It feels helpless to just watch.

We are human. We have emotion. And even though we know intellectually that the only days that count when it comes to whether you win or lose at investing is the price on the day you buy and the day you sell. It still stinks. We still feel a rush of excitement when our account gets bigger. We feel smarter. We are proud of our decisions as if we control the market in some way which is ridiculous. And we still feel that pang of failure when the number gets smaller and we just want to look away from the screen- and we are embarrassed because maybe we invested too much or we chose the wrong investment or we weren’t diversified enough or whatever and we should have done something different.

There’s also some smugness going on. People who were kicking themselves this winter for missing the big crypto boom are now feeling a lot better- they dodged a bullet. And had they invested in say January and sold in May it would have been a brutal loss. All true.

But the game is not over. In fact part of the magic is that unless we are forced to sell- and I hope no one listening to this is in that position- we get to decide when the game is over.

And so here’s are some things that I hope will make everyone feel better- especially for grownups who understood the risks and held steady as they watched their accounts shrink- reminding themselves that this is the part where the risk feels real. And the return is not guaranteed- but is historically consistent.

First - A short term view: Things may be turning around: All three major indices scored big gains in the past week, each rising higher than 6%. Both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite broke a seven-week losing streak. For the Dow it had been 8 weeks of losses.

As bad as the month of May felt, heading into the Memorial Day weekend the Dow and S&P 500 were both about flat in May and the Nasdaq was only down a few percentage points.

And while the market has priced in Fed rate hikes of half a percent, there is some buzz that if they raise rates in smaller increments, that could spark more upside momentum.

One thing to watch: what are hedge funds doing? They have been unloading holdings- so if they start to buy in the coming week, it could be a possible positive catalyst for the market.

And now- a longer term view: The S&P 500's average annual returns over the past decade 14.7%. That’s pretty incredible but it reflects some extremely strong years. I like it better than the even longer term perspective of 30 years which is 10.7 percent. But either one is going to serve investors well.

As for Crypto- I have no clue where that is going and personally don’t own any as of this recording. But what I do know is that it is becoming clear that not all Crypto’s will perform the same and that investors should do very careful and intense research when choosing which one to put their resources into- bitcoin, etherium and so on are very different from some of the less main stream crypto’s so please my grownup friends, tread carefully and make sure you are aware of the risk levels if you venture into this new world.

Finally- no matter where you are on your investing journey , I hope you shut down that scree and take a look around at your life beyond the numbers and not let them define your life. We are all much more than our balance sheets.

I hope this has brought you some peace of mind.

If you enjoy this podcast at all, it would really help me out if you would take a few minutes and write a review on Apple podcasts. I don’t ask that often and I probably should because it does really help make new people aware of the podcast and grow the audience so I can keep bringing you this podcast.

I also love to hear from you directly so please DM me on whatever social media works for you- I’m at Bobbirebell on Twitter and Bobbirebell1 on Instagram and I am newly on Tik Tok at BobbiRebell.

I also love to share money and investing tips beyond this podcast in my newsletter- it is now only going to be twice a month which I think is the perfect amount to give everyone value. So please if you are not on the grownup list yet- go to my website where you will see the button to sign up so we can include you.

I wish everyone a wonderful start to summer- and sending good investing vibes to all of you on the path to being financial grownups.

Advice, Financial Grownup, Personal Finance, MoneyBobbi Rebell KaufmanMay 31, 2022Market, Stock Market, Market Turmoil